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New Pew Research Poll: Hillary +9 Points Over Trump


LebaneseDude

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LebaneseDude

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Via Pew Research Center

The survey was completely late last month before the FBI story dominated the headlines.

In a two-way contest, 51% of registered voters support Clinton or lean toward her, while 42% support or lean toward Trump. In a three-way contest, including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson, 45% favor Clinton, 36% support Trump and 11% back Johnson.

As has been the case in recent campaigns, there are stark racial and ethnic differences in candidate support. Trump leads among white, non-Hispanic voters (51%-42%), while Clinton has an overwhelming advantage among African Americans (91%-7%).

Clinton also holds a wide, 66%-24% advantage among Hispanic voters. This is on par with Barack Obama’s lead among Hispanics at similar points in the past two campaigns. The survey included an oversample of Hispanics: 543 Hispanics were interviewed in English and Spanish, including 274 Hispanic registered voters.

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Pew Research Center has a B+ rating on FiveThirtyEight 

Current Electoral College projection average:

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Edited just now by LebaneseDude.
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LebaneseDude
2 minutes ago, PunkTheFunk said:

Abuela Trump better pick up the f*cking pace

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es abuelo cuando se refiere a un hombre y no hay nietos :emma:

Edited just now by LebaneseDude.
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PunkTheFunk
3 minutes ago, LebaneseDude said:

es abuelo cuando se refiere a un hombre y no hay nietos :emma:

Gracias

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JevyDuty
27 minutes ago, LebaneseDude said:

es abuelo cuando se refiere a un hombre y no hay nietos :emma:

¿Pero que esta pasando aqui?! Usted escribes en español bastante bien. Me tienes en shock con esta revelacion.

OT: I hate polls this far out. And NO he will not be getting 24% of the Latino. I only know of one Hispanic who is an adamant Trump supporter. One. And the rest REALLY hate him.

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LebaneseDude
32 minutes ago, Larry Hill said:

¿Pero que esta pasando aqui?! Usted escribes en español bastante bien. Me tienes en shock con esta revelacion.

OT: I hate polls this far out. And NO he will not be getting 24% of the Latino. I only know of one Hispanic who is an adamant Trump supporter. One. And the rest REALLY hate him.

Ay no. No soy muy bueno en Espanol. Puedo former frases faciles solo por que no practico :D 

The polls shouldn't be used as discrete predictions. I still think they're important in assessing the trends and overall difference.

Edited just now by LebaneseDude.
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Katharine Hepburn

I feel like Hillary will murder him in November. The only things that could have brought her undoing was trump using a terrorist attack to fear monger (which he failed to do) or Hillary's investigations damaging her campaign (all damage has been done last year and there's no legal ramifications)

Trump has lost his edge and people are seeing his true colours. It's going to take a miracle for him to win.

xoxo Joanne
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ItsTommyBitch

None of these polls going for trump, as well as Nate Silver's projection have made me cautiously optimistic :neyde: 

I just get this irrational fear that hes going to cheat to win somehow and everyone will be like "theres no way he won!" and he will be like "the people have spoken" and I'll end up moving to France to study flute :saladga: 

私自身もこの世の中も誰もかれもが, どんなに華やかな人生でも, どんなに悲惨な人生でも, いつかは変貌し, 破壊され、消滅してしまう. すべてがもともとこの世に存在しない一瞬の幻想なのだから
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JevyDuty
41 minutes ago, ItsTommyBitch said:

None of these polls going for trump, as well as Nate Silver's projection have made me cautiously optimistic :neyde: 

I just get this irrational fear that hes going to cheat to win somehow and everyone will be like "theres no way he won!" and he will be like "the people have spoken" and I'll end up moving to France to study flute :saladga: 

I love your vivid imagination in that mini-breakdown lol.. I would totally move to Canada though. I've always wanted to anyway.

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ItsTommyBitch
11 minutes ago, Larry Hill said:

I love your vivid imagination in that mini-breakdown lol.. I would totally move to Canada though. I've always wanted to anyway.

The only far-fetched part of it is me moving to France to study Flute because I'm not even near good enough :rip: 

私自身もこの世の中も誰もかれもが, どんなに華やかな人生でも, どんなに悲惨な人生でも, いつかは変貌し, 破壊され、消滅してしまう. すべてがもともとこの世に存在しない一瞬の幻想なのだから
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LebaneseDude
13 minutes ago, ItsTommyBitch said:

The only far-fetched part of it is me moving to France to study Flute because I'm not even near good enough :rip: 

Well I've been going out with a Brazilian guy so if things go well I'll just move to Rio and apparently die young from the Zika virus :shrug: 

Edited just now by LebaneseDude.
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ItsTommyBitch
Just now, LebaneseDude said:

Well I've been going out with a Brazilian guy so if things go well I'll just move to Rio and apparently die young from the Zika virus :shrug: 

Slay :giveup: 

Ill just end up transferring back to Berklee in Massachusetts tbh, they're so progressive that they can stand 4 years of Trump. **** Missouri though, lol.

私自身もこの世の中も誰もかれもが, どんなに華やかな人生でも, どんなに悲惨な人生でも, いつかは変貌し, 破壊され、消滅してしまう. すべてがもともとこの世に存在しない一瞬の幻想なのだから
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