How well do you think LG5 will fare?

[MaryJaneHolland 77,348]

18 minutes ago, DWUWpartII said:

 there has to be a flop single and a flop video every year! lmao

there is not an album (by any artist) which has all successful singles 

[2020Covid19IsOurs 6,901]

8 minutes ago, MaryJaneHolland said:

there is not an album (by any artist) which has all successful singles 

I want gaga to be the exception  

[fucbjk 631]

/nkd;|n

[LizaMontero 93]

Consistent and good promotion + hype + GP-friendly artistic singles = SLAYAGE 

 

[Caesium 6,022]

1 hour ago, MaryJaneHolland said:

1. WW: 5.000.000 

2. 5/6 videos (all of them at least 200M+ one of them hopefully 1B+ and one of them will probably be around 80-90M aka TEOG)

3. Album definitely #1, and if it has 6 singles, I hope like 3 #1, 2 Top 10 and 1 flop LOL.

4. 70-80 (positive)

5. She needs a huge tour like The Monster Ball Tour, 170+ concerts, cheaper tickets so more people would attend. Cheaper tickets and more audience = expensive tickets and less audience. I really want a tour that'll be on the list of highest-grossing tours (for ex. Madonna's Sticky and Sweet Tour is 5th and MDNA Tour is 11th).

ALL OF THESE THINGS MIGHT BE TRUE IF LG5 IS A POP\DANCEPOP\ROCK\DISCO\ELECTRO ALBUM, NOT ACOUSTIC 

The optimism

 

----------------------------

1. Sales: US first week sales: ~220-240k (with streaming) WW first week: ~500k

Total US: 800/900k, WW: ~2-3mil

2. Streaming: First single will get 100+ million streams on YT/Spotify, depending on genre of music the rest will likely get around 70-100 million on YT/Spotify

3. Billboard Charts: First single will go top 10, possibly top 5. Following singles may reach top 10 if enough promo/music videos actually released. Last single will probably chart around 20s/30s.

4. Critical Acclaim: As long as the music is less produced, showcases her vocals more, has more interesting concept I'm hopeful it can get a score in the mid/high 70s

5. Tour Gross: 110-120M

[MaryJaneHolland 77,348]

Just now, Caesium said:

WW: ~2-3mil

 

Just now, Caesium said:

First single will get 100+ million streams on YT/Spotify, depending on genre of music the rest will likely get around 70-100 million on YT/Spotify

 

1 minute ago, Caesium said:

Tour Gross: 110-120M

the pessimism 

[Caesium 6,022]

1 minute ago, MaryJaneHolland said:

the pessimism 

The realism 

43 minutes ago, MaryJaneHolland said:

there is not an album (by any artist) which has all successful singles 

There are many   The Fame, The Fame Monster, Teenage Dream etc

[BlahForever1 671]

1. Sales

I predict it'll open with around 150-220k (including SPS) in the U.S, will sell 500K+ in pure album sales and go platnium, selling around 1.2-1.5 million worldwide. I can't see it selling too much more than ARTPOP considering the album sales climate. 

In terms of singles: the lead single will open up with around 120K+, go on to sell over a million and be certified platnium 2x or 3x. 

2. Streaming

She'll probably release at least four music videos, all of which will be vevo certified and will also reach around 50-150 million streams on spotify. I can see the lead single being one of Gaga's most streamed songs of all time.

3. Billboard Charts

The album will go number 1 (or number 2, depending on the competition), and will stay on the chart for longer than ARTPOP. I predict that Gaga will have at least 2 smash top ten hits, with 2-3 moderate hits peaking in the top 20.. 

4. Critical Acclaim

70-80 on metacritic, although I am leaning more towards 68-75.

5. Tour Gross

Will perform slightly better than ARTPOP, I predict she'll gross $100 million+, and will potentially reach over $600 million in total touring gross for her career thus far.

[Arizona Sky 10,913]

1. Sales

750k US / 1.8m WW

2. Streaming

1.3b combined VEVO views

3. Billboard Charts

2 top 5s, 1 top 10, 1 top 25

4. Critical Acclaim

70 metacritic score

5. Tour Gross

$130m 

[Arizona Sky 10,913]

13 minutes ago, BlahForever1 said:

1. Sales

I predict it'll open with around 150-220k (including SPS) in the U.S, will sell 500K+ in pure album sales and go platnium, selling around 1.2-1.5 million worldwide. I can't see it selling too much more than ARTPOP considering the album sales climate. 

In terms of singles: the lead single will open up with around 120K+, go on to sell over a million and be certified platnium 2x or 3x. 

2. Streaming

She'll probably release at least four music videos, all of which will be vevo certified and will also reach around 50-150 million streams on spotify. I can see the lead single being one of Gaga's most streamed songs of all time.

3. Billboard Charts

The album will go number 1 (or number 2, depending on the competition), and will stay on the chart for longer than ARTPOP. I predict that Gaga will have at least 2 smash top ten hits, with 2-3 moderate hits peaking in the top 20.. 

4. Critical Acclaim

70-80 on metacritic, although I am leaning more towards 68-75.

5. Tour Gross

Will perform slightly better than ARTPOP, I predict she'll gross $100 million+, and will potentially reach over $600 million in total touring gross for her career thus far.

This is very reasonable 

[BlahForever1 671]

2 hours ago, BloodyMonster said:

This is very reasonable 

Thanks sis  I tried to be more realistic about LG5's commercial performance.. As much as I'd like her to open with 300K-400K+ first week in the U.S, in all likelihood, it'll probably never happen due to the sales climate. Excluding a handful of artists (Beyonce, Drake, Adele, Taylor Swift, 1D, and Bieber), barely anyone will scrap that figure first week. 

[Aga Gydal 3,158]

If the lead single is a smash hit, the album will do well. If it isn't, then I wouldn't count on any records breaking. 

She needs a huge hit single, desperately. 

[Arizona Sky 10,913]

15 minutes ago, BlahForever1 said:

Thanks sis  I tried to be more realistic about LG5's commercial performance.. As much as I'd like her to open with 300K-400K+ first week in the U.S, in all likelihood, it'll probably never happen due to the sales climate. Excluding a handful of artists (Beyonce, Drake, Adele, Taylor Swift, 1D, and Bieber), barely anyone will scrap that figure first week. 

Well hopefully it will be released in November aka the best time of the year to release an album. Sales are the highest during that time of the year due to Black Friday. And I agree that she'll open with 150-200k pure album sales.

[BlahForever1 671]

6 hours ago, Aga Gydal said:

If the lead single is a smash hit, the album will do well. If it isn't, then I wouldn't count on any records breaking. 

She needs a huge hit single, desperately. 

It really depends on what Gaga wants - if she wants to continue to be a big pop mega star ala Taylor Swift/ Beyonce, she needs a couple of big hits in order to rejuvenate her relevancy on streaming services and the radio.  

5 hours ago, BloodyMonster said:

Well hopefully it will be released in November aka the best time of the year to release an album. Sales are the highest during that time of the year due to Black Friday. And I agree that she'll open with 150-200k pure album sales.

This is looking rather likely, though I hope that the wait between the lead single and the album isn't nearly as long as Applause and ARTPOP. If she releases in early November, or even late October, there's no reason the single should be released in August this time around. Out-drawn album campaigns like ARTPOP don't really work anymore - it's much more effective to release the album 5-8 weeks after the single.