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March 8 Elections


Morphine Prince

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Voltaire

And NOW I'm HOMESICK. SO proud of you Michigan. Ya did good ya little mitten shaped, pot-hole-ridden winterglacier!

Candy is dandy but liquor is quicker
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Voltaire
2 minutes ago, Aura Veil said:

let me look back at some of these comments

tumblr_ndb4gwvIJW1tfn6k7o1_500.gif

Right? Coming up on the evening like:

VNpmcig.gif

Candy is dandy but liquor is quicker
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JevyDuty

He still gets no delegate advantage. He needs to start winning big or else he's going to keep falling behind. He said it himself today, it don't matter who wins Michigan; the delegates will be split evenly. When Hillary wins, she wins big and that's why she has a pledged delegate lead.

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Morphine Prince

CNN commentators are saying how this surprise win has "upset" Clinton's campaign. Not that she isn't winning or anything, but that it seems Sanders is expanding his electorate.

Very interesting indeed. 

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Aura Veil
1 minute ago, Larry Hill said:

He still gets no delegate advantage. He needs to start winning big or else he's going to keep falling behind. He said it himself today, it don't matter who wins Michigan; the delegates will be split evenly. When Hillary wins, she wins big and that's why she has a pledged delegate lead.

The delegate advantage ascertained by a head start from conservative Southern states? They will be irrelevant in the general.  This contest will go on through to the convention, and he will always be the underdog. 

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Morphine Prince

What I find so interesting is that Clinton has won the South which will not go her way in the general while Sanders has won all the more liberal, heavy democratic states.

Also, Republican voter turnout is much larger than the Democratic turnout. Trump is a phenomenon. Who will be able to stop him? Clinton? Sanders? 

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En_Sabah_Nur
3 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

CNN commentators are saying how this surprise win has "upset" Clinton's campaign. Not that she isn't winning or anything, but that it seems Sanders is expanding his electorate.

Very interesting indeed. 

He still has BIG trouble with African-Americans & She has BIG trouble with Young Voters!  So they BOTH need to figure out what to do about these constituencies come the General Election.  :duck:

Egypt. W
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Voltaire
Just now, En_Sabah_Nur said:

He still has BIG trouble with African-Americans & She has BIG trouble with Young Voters!  So they BOTH need to figure out what to do about these constituencies come the General Election.  :duck:

He earned the highest percentage of the African-American vote under 30. So at least he's showing progress. He's earned more of the African-American vote here than any previous contest.

Trending progress looks promising. People are learning who Bernie is!

Candy is dandy but liquor is quicker
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JevyDuty
1 minute ago, Aura Veil said:

The delegate advantage ascertained by a head start from conservative Southern states? They will be irrelevant in the general.  This contest will go on through to the convention, and he will always be the underdog. 

Once again, it's not the states that are won but HOW big were the margins by which it was won. When Hillary wins states that favor her (yes, the south) she wins by a lot and since delegates are awarded proportional to votes she wins a larger share than Bernie. When Bernie wins a state, he is so close to Hillary's numbers that they split the total. So if this continues, he'll share half the delegates of the states he wins while Hillary wins more than half of the states she wins and that adds up to a Hillary win in the end.

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RAMROD

I am very pleased Bernie win Michigan.

My decision not to be hasty until the end was right.

Hope he'll keep winning. Good luck, Bernie!

(ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ✧*:・゚ ᶠʳᵒⁿᵗ ᵗᵒʷᵃʳᵈ ᵉⁿᵉᵐʸ (*´艸`*) ♡♡♡
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Morphine Prince
1 minute ago, Larry Hill said:

Once again, it's not the states that are won but HOW big were the margins by which it was won. When Hillary wins states that favor her (yes, the south) she wins by a lot and since delegates are awarded proportional to votes she wins a larger share than Bernie. When Bernie wins a state, he is so close to Hillary's numbers that they split the total. So if this continues, he'll share half the delegates of the states he wins while Hillary wins more than half of the states she wins and that adds up to a Hillary win in the end.

But this is obvious? I think this user is speaking about the general. Hillary WILL be the nominee. But the Democratic vote in the South becomes less relevant in the general election. I think that's what they're saying. 

 

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En_Sabah_Nur
Just now, Voltaire said:

He earned the highest percentage of the African-American vote under 30. So at least he's showing progress. He's earned more of the African-American vote here than any previous contest.

Trending progress looks promising. People are learning who Bernie is!

Well being black myself I can tell you I only know of a couple of black people who are checking for Bernie Sanders!  My mother told me she goes in the kitchen when he comes on tv.  And this narrative that Hillary is only winning states that will not matter come the general.  Well so did Barack Obama back in 2008 primary & he went on to win the nomination of course!

Egypt. W
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Voltaire

"If Sanders winds up winning in Michigan, in fact, it will count as among the greatest polling errors in primary history. Clinton led by 21.3 percentage points in our final Michigan polling average. Previously, the candidate with the largest lead to lose a state in our database of well-polled primaries and caucuses was Walter Mondale, who led in New Hampshire by 17.1 percentage points but lost to Gary Hart in 1984." -Nate Silver on fivethirteight.com

So, in essence, the greatest underdog win, based on polling, in primary history.

Candy is dandy but liquor is quicker
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JevyDuty
Just now, Morphine Prince said:

But this is obvious? I think this user is speaking about the general. Hillary WILL be the nominee. But the Democratic vote in the South becomes less relevant in the general election. I think that's what they're saying. 

 

Well if that's what he meant then I should go to sleep cuz I got none of that lol

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Morphine Prince
Just now, En_Sabah_Nur said:

Well being black myself I can tell you I only know of a couple of black people who are checking for Bernie Sanders!  My mother told me she goes in the kitchen when he comes on tv.  And this narrative that Hillary is only winning states that will not matter come the general.  Well so did Barack Obama back in 2008 primary & he went on to win the nomination of course!

Can you explain to me why blacks aren't giving Bernie a chance? Is it because of Clinton's legacy? 

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