Morphine Prince 109,984 Posted March 6, 2016 Author Share Posted March 6, 2016 Trump is only winning by 5% in Louisiana... is the Trump train coming to a halt? Hmm.... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Born To Slay 10,996 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Did Bernie talk yet? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoshLife 17,019 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 8 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: Do you think that this result might indicate how Missouri will vote as well? Kansas City, Missouri is on the border with Kansas and it's a major city. Bernie won that district on the border. Just an interesting observation. I think he could benefit from that proximity. On the other hand, southern Missouri borders Arkansas and may have some bleedover Hillary support from there. Additionally, it's a primary and not a caucus, and it has about double the amount of black people as Kansas does (as a percent of the population). So it will be veeeeery interesting. I will say Bernie is probably favored to win, but I won't be surprised if Hillary does. My guess is we'll have a poll or two there over the next week which will give us some clarity. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lion Heart 15,041 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 4 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: Trump is only winning by 5% in Louisiana... is the Trump train coming to a halt? Hmm.... I think it's more of an Open vs. Closed Primary issue.(?) A lot of Trump voters are first time voters, or haven't voted in a while so a closed primary hurts them/him. http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2016/03/03/caucus-primary-kansas-louisiana-kentucky-maine/ ▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lion Heart 15,041 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Marco Rubio wins NO delegates in LA. I think they have a 20% threshold, so anyone beneath that doesn't win anything. ▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,984 Posted March 6, 2016 Author Share Posted March 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, Lion Heart said: I think it's more of an Open vs. Closed Primary issue.(?) A lot of Trump voters are first time voters, or haven't voted in a while so a closed primary hurts them/him. http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2016/03/03/caucus-primary-kansas-louisiana-kentucky-maine/ Oh, you're right! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoshLife 17,019 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 The three states I'm most interested in for the Democratic primary: Ohio - the rust belt is going to be a very interesting region, as organized labor has come out in favor of Hillary but Bernie's message of economic populism definitely strikes a chord with voters in that part of the country. It'll make for an interesting dynamic. I think as Ohio goes, so will go Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Illinois. So there are a lot of delegates up for grabs there. Her big win in Michigan could set her up for some big wins with its neighbors. Arizona - On March 22, we'll finally be able to put to rest the debate over which candidate is winning with Hispanics. We haven't been able to pinpoint those voters, but I think Hillary's wins in Nevada and Texas indicate she'll do well in Arizona and NEW Mexico, and with Hispanics in the general election. Washington - March 26 will be the first time we hear from the West Coast. I'd rather it be California or Oregon, but Washington is a progressive state in the Pacific Northwest and can give us some hints as to how the other two states might swing. Those states don't vote until May and June, though, so a lot could change. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lion Heart 15,041 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 Louisiana Hillary 31 delegates Bernie 8 delegates 12 still up for grabs. ▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lion Heart 15,041 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, PoshLife said: The three states I'm most interested in for the Democratic primary: Ohio - the rust belt is going to be a very interesting region, as organized labor has come out in favor of Hillary but Bernie's message of economic populism definitely strikes a chord with voters in that part of the country. It'll make for an interesting dynamic. I think as Ohio goes, so will go Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Illinois. So there are a lot of delegates up for grabs there. Her big win in Michigan could set her up for some big wins with its neighbors. Arizona - On March 22, we'll finally be able to put to rest the debate over which candidate is winning with Hispanics. We haven't been able to pinpoint those voters, but I think Hillary's wins in Nevada and Texas indicate she'll do well in Arizona and Mexico, and with Hispanics in the general election. Washington - March 26 will be the first time we hear from the West Coast. I'd rather it be California or Oregon, but Washington is a progressive state in the Pacific Northwest and can give us some hints as to how the other two states might swing. Those states don't vote until May and June, though, so a lot could change. MEXICO??? BUILD THAT WALL!! ▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀▄▀ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoshLife 17,019 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 1 minute ago, Lion Heart said: MEXICO??? BUILD THAT WALL!! LMAO I could have sworn I wrote the New... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoshLife 17,019 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 So here's my prediction for tonight's final delegate count then: Louisiana - 51 (Hillary 41, Bernie 10) Nebraska - 25 (Hillary 10, Bernie 15) Kansas - 33 (Hillary 10, Bernie 23) Total - 109 (Hillary 61, Bernie 48) So Hillary expands her delegate lead slightly tonight. Not to politicize, but the media will focus on the fact that Bernie won two of the three states, rather than the fact that it just got harder, not easier, for him to catch up. You can of course make the argument that he has the momentum now, and that will continue tomorrow when he probably wins in Maine. But his momentum will end again in three days when he loses in both Mississippi and Michigan. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goosey 3,017 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 2 hours ago, Morphine Prince said: Trump is only winning by 5% in Louisiana... is the Trump train coming to a halt? Nope! Choo choo! "I am the world's greatest person that does not want to let people into the country."—US President Donald J. Trump Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mast 980 Posted March 6, 2016 Share Posted March 6, 2016 11 hours ago, PoshLife said: I'll be here! On the Republican side, I anticipate Trump sweeping though I won't be surprised if Cruz pulls it out in Kansas. The sparsely-populated midwestern states are hard to predict, as they're hard to poll. What will be more interesting is how second and third places are awarded. Will Rubio score any second place 'victories'? Will Kasich? On the Dem side, Louisiana will be a rout, where I expect Hillary to win at least 70-30. I have no idea how Kansas and Nebraska will go. I don't think there's been any polling there. Bernie tends to do well in caucuses and I believe he is generally expected to win in those states. However, even if he does, Hillary will win by so many votes in Louisiana that she will gain more delegates today than will Bernie, solidifying her overall delegate lead and continuing to shrink Bernie's pathway to the nomination. Good luck to all! I'll probably perch myself here tonight as the returns start rolling in. Final Democrat Delegate count for last night: Bernie: 47 Hillary: 55 Not too bad for Bernie. I wouldn't count him out until after Maine tho. So far Hillary has been doing well in conservative-leaning states (which also happen to be the largest), but Bernie has won just about every liberal state besides Massachusetts, and that was a very close race. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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