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Super Saturday Thread


Morphine Prince

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Born To Slay
29 minutes ago, Lion Heart said:

Posting this for later reference: 

Democrat Delegate count (before Super Saturday).

Clinton: 1,066

Bernie: 432

What is it without super delegates?

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PoshLife
1 minute ago, Born To Slay said:

What is it without super delegates?

596 for Hillary to 407 for Sanders

It's a function of them being very close in most of the primaries so far, and Hillary doing better in the bigger southern states.

I think that's a trend we'll continue to see; Bernie winning some states that have relatively few delegates, like Kansas and Maine, but by a thinner margin than the larger states that Hillary will win by wider margins. So I do think it will be difficult, though not impossible yet, for Bernie to catch up.

The superdelegates likely put the nomination out of his reach unless he can win more of them over. Obama was able to do that eight years ago.

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Morphine Prince

It's close between Cruz and Trump in Maine....

Trump is leading in Kentucky. 

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Morphine Prince

"Media will say Rubio is gaining momentum by losing every state" 

:rip: 

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PoshLife

I expect Trump to win Kentucky, as he was up by about 15 in the most recent poll. He's also expected to win Louisiana pretty big, too. No clue on how Maine will play out. So either he splits today's four states with Cruz 2-2 or comes out ahead 3-1. Either way it's not a bad position for Trump to be in given the fact that he didn't have a good week (not a great debate performance, lots of negative press, Christie awkwardness, more attacks and Oppo research like Trump University, etc.)

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socotra
2 hours ago, Morphine Prince said:

Yeah, Cruz is bad but at least he's controlled by big money. So he'll just be another "establishment" candidate despite him saying he's different lol. 

God, I'm beginning to hate the word "establishment" 

Trump on the other hand doesn't care and would try to go through with his ideas. Although they would most likely fail.

I think that if Trump became president, he would become the first president removed from office. Cruz, imo, is more dangerous because he'd be able to stay in office and inflict real damage. 

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Morphine Prince

Why is the media not mentioning the Puerto Rico primary tomorrow? 

Will they even cover it? I haven't really seen it mentioned. It's not even on Politico's schedule. 

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PoshLife
4 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Why is the media not mentioning the Puerto Rico primary tomorrow? 

Will they even cover it? I haven't really seen it mentioned. It's not even on Politico's schedule. 

It's probably a function of the fact that "nobody cares about Puerto Rico," it doesn't have that many delegates (though it's the same number as New Hampshire), and the fact that it would be hard to get reporters out there to get footage and such (relative to continental states). So I'm not surprised it's not as big a deal, but it's weird if the media is actually pretending it doesn't exist.

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PoshLife
Just now, Born To Slay said:

Did they show Bernie speak yet?

None of the polls have closed for the Democratic primaries yet. He'll probably speak in the next hour or two, since Louisana polls close in half an hour. But he may wait until Kansas or Nebraska results have started coming in, so he has something happier to talk about (he's not going to do well in Louisana unless there's an upset).

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Born To Slay
Just now, PoshLife said:

None of the polls have closed for the Democratic primaries yet. He'll probably speak in the next hour or two, since Louisana polls close in half an hour. But he may wait until Kansas or Nebraska results have started coming in, so he has something happier to talk about (he's not going to do well in Louisana unless there's an upset).

Kansas was just called for Bernie on CNN, so that's nice.

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PoshLife
Just now, Born To Slay said:

Kansas was just called for Bernie on CNN, so that's nice.

Oh, I didn't know that, I guess the Dem caucus results just started being tallied and he's expected to win. In that case, he might speak very soon! My bad.

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Born To Slay
Just now, PoshLife said:

Oh, I didn't know that, I guess the Dem caucus results just started being tallied and he's expected to win. In that case, he might speak very soon! My bad.

They called it just as I read ur comment, I read somewhere he's doing well in Nebraska tho, so he might wait to talk.

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PoshLife
Just now, Born To Slay said:

They called it just as I read ur comment, I read somewhere he's doing well in Nebraska tho, so he might wait to talk.

Yeah he'll probably win Nebraska too. Kansas (and I think Nebraska too) award their delegates proportionally, so it will be interesting to see whether he wins by a lot or by a little.

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