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2026 Midterm Discussions (Polls, updates, and more)


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Morphine Prince

New poll from Cook Political Report/New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group

#TXSEN   
🔵Talarico: 49%
🔴Paxton: 44%
⚪️Brown: 3%

#TXGOV
🔴Abbott: 48%
🔵Hinojosa: 46%
⚪️Dixon: 3%

Fielded 10/9-13, n=934 LV, MOE=+-3/2%

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pachinko
13 hours ago, PartySick said:

Florida news

🔵41.8% (577,903)
🔴37.5% (518,729)
🟣20.6% (285,986)

Dems have a ~60,000 vote lead so far which is 7,000 higher than yesterday.

I am not huffing hopium for this state but the momentum exists. I wonder if we'll maintain it.

How do we know these results? Are they publically available? 

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SidewalkUnicorn
13 hours ago, PartySick said:

Florida news

🔵41.8% (577,903)
🔴37.5% (518,729)
🟣20.6% (285,986)

Dems have a ~60,000 vote lead so far which is 7,000 higher than yesterday.

I am not huffing hopium for this state but the momentum exists. I wonder if we'll maintain it.

Florida’s probably gonna Florida, but is the purple Independents? If so in general indies are leaning heavily D this year too. 

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Bronco
11 minutes ago, pachinko said:

How do we know these results? Are they publically available? 

Yep, Florida has rolling daily updates (roughly 10 min updates) of voter turnout for early voting including the by county and party registration data. 

Votingtrend.com tracks all the states for this as well as giving options to look at prior cycles for comparison. 

The gays know how to party
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PartySick
39 minutes ago, SidewalkUnicorn said:

Florida’s probably gonna Florida, but is the purple Independents? If so in general indies are leaning heavily D this year too. 

Yeah, independents. Polls regularly show Nixon up around 60% or more with independents. I haven't seen Jolly's numbers but they're probably even better.

There's a 1.5 million voter advantage for Republicans in Florida that we have to overcome but Dems are motivated, Reps are depressed, and Inds are pissed. If it keeps up, we win.

Whimsical bitch
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RAMROD

Many of early results seems optimistic, hope this keep going til the final results announcement 

(ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ✧*:・゚ each thing I show you is a piece of my death (*´艸`*) ♡♡♡
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Morphine Prince

Senate Republicans Fear They Could Lose Mississippi for the First Time in 44 Years — Axios

Absolutely no way… 

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Bronco
1 hour ago, PartySick said:

Yeah, independents. Polls regularly show Nixon up around 60% or more with independents. I haven't seen Jolly's numbers but they're probably even better.

There's a 1.5 million voter advantage for Republicans in Florida that we have to overcome but Dems are motivated, Reps are depressed, and Inds are pissed. If it keeps up, we win.

Worth pointing out in some recent special elections the vote the Republican got was less than the number of republican registered voters who turned out.

There definitely is peel off. Just gotta hope its enough 

The gays know how to party
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Bronco
10 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Senate Republicans Fear They Could Lose Mississippi for the First Time in 44 Years — Axios

Absolutely no way… 

Has to be PR.

Warn about an impossible worst case result so on election night you can spin it as an overperformance

The gays know how to party
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Morphine Prince

New - Senate poll - Texas

🔵 James Talarico 52% (+1)
🔴 Ken Paxton 46% (-3)

Last poll: Talarico +2 (4 point 🔵 swing)

Fox News (B+) - RV - 10/19

 

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Morphine Prince
18 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

New - Senate poll - Texas

🔵 James Talarico 52% (+1)
🔴 Ken Paxton 46% (-3)

Last poll: Talarico +2 (4 point 🔵 swing)

Fox News (B+) - RV - 10/19

 

LV poll has them at 49% vs 49% 

Dead tie. 

LV tends to be more accurate 

This is going to be a nail biter if polling is correct 

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LateToCult

They’re saying a f@ggeta is gonna be outed tomorrow. American politics are unlike anything else.   :icant:

 

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