2026 Midterm Discussions (Polls, updates, and more)

[Morphine Prince 110,031]

5 hours ago, Bronco said:

There's been a leaked internal GOP poll from a deep red Texas district that had them trailing on all ballots by like 6 to 10%. 

The hopium is kicking in ngl

Either Republicans will get destroyed or most polls can never be taken seriously again. 

 

[Bronco 28,196]

51 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Either Republicans will get destroyed or most polls can never be taken seriously again. 

 

Honestly, the Republicans money moves make me think the polls are either spot on or underestimating how weak the turn out will be among solid Republican voters. 

Because the GOP network is pulling out of a lot of the middle ground races and circling the wagons around what should be never in doubt seats.

[PartySick 174,825]

58 minutes ago, Bronco said:

Honestly, the Republicans money moves make me think the polls are either spot on or underestimating how weak the turn out will be among solid Republican voters. 

Because the GOP network is pulling out of a lot of the middle ground races and circling the wagons around what should be never in doubt seats.

Some of the candidates' actions are signalling that they're actually in panic mode too. 

A Marist poll shows Hinson 8 points behind Turek in Iowa and our instinct might be to shrug it off as an outlier but Hinson's officially broken with Trump on the war.

If Republicans in (should be) solid R seats are commiting the cardinal sin of defying Trump? We have reason to hope

[palma 8,918]

I desperately hope there's a blue wave but something tells me establishment Dems will get very cocky upon getting even Texas and we'll have Kamala 2.0 without any major policy changes for 28

The world has no time to spare with Trump in the office. Hoping the people will come through.

[Bronco 28,196]

8 minutes ago, PartySick said:

Some of the candidates' actions are signalling that they're actually in panic mode too. 

A Marist poll shows Hinson 8 points behind Turek in Iowa and our instinct might be to shrug it off as an outlier but Hinson's officially broken with Trump on the war.

If Republicans in (should be) solid R seats are commiting the cardinal sin of defying Trump? We have reason to hope

I saw one of the florida candidates updated his website to remove trump's endorsement.

I knew a 2028 realignment would happen, just not this quickly and likely bloodily.

[PartySick 174,825]

5 minutes ago, Bronco said:

I saw one of the florida candidates updated his website to remove trump's endorsement.

I knew a 2028 realignment would happen, just not this quickly and likely bloodily.

And a Republican candidate here in a Trump +15 district, or something crazy like that, is putting out ads showing her pleading to Trump that he could be the "Abraham Lincoln of immigration" but instead his masked thugs are abusing hard working Hispanics and Latinos  

He finally fell below 30% approval in a major poll, 50% strongly disapprove. Anyone even close to him is cooked.

[Bronco 28,196]

1 hour ago, PartySick said:

And a Republican candidate here in a Trump +15 district, or something crazy like that, is putting out ads showing her pleading to Trump that he could be the "Abraham Lincoln of immigration" but instead his masked thugs are abusing hard working Hispanics and Latinos  

He finally fell below 30% approval in a major poll, 50% strongly disapprove. Anyone even close to him is cooked.

I knew the 2024 coalition was shakey, they were never going to be able to hold the hispanic/latin vote the way everyone was claiming. 

[LateToCult 42,242]

On 9/19/2026 at 12:33 PM, PartySick said:

Oh yeah, I've seen that Alaska is probably gonna take weeks to fully finish their election.

Can't wait for senate control to hinge on Peltola's victory and all the MAGA tears about the supposed Democratic establishment stealing Alaska.

And while the nation waits for the Alaska race to be called, John Fetterman will be in some Pennsylvania hovel feeling puss because he’s about to flip Republican 

[PartySick 174,825]

10 minutes ago, Bronco said:

I knew the 2024 coalition was shakey, they were never going to be able to hold the hispanic/latin vote the way everyone was claiming. 

Oh absolutely. Everyone treated Trump 2016 like some kind of one-off issue but that was the pot finally boiling over. The one-off was him winning support from Hispanic and Latino voters (except Cubans for reasons I can't fathom).

2 minutes ago, LateToCult said:

And while the nation waits for the Alaska race to be called, John Fetterman will be in some Pennsylvania hovel feeling puss because he’s about to flip Republican 

I was listening to the Bulwark's main podcast and Sarah Longwell said she's getting emails from Fetterman despite being on Republican fundraiser rolls.

So, he's actively reaching out to Republicans  

[LateToCult 42,242]

4 minutes ago, PartySick said:

Oh absolutely. Everyone treated Trump 2016 like some kind of one-off issue but that was the pot finally boiling over. The one-off was him winning support from Hispanic and Latino voters (except Cubans for reasons I can't fathom).

I was listening to the Bulwark's main podcast and Sarah Longwell said she's getting emails from Fetterman despite being on Republican fundraiser rolls.

So, he's actively reaching out to Republicans  

Did you see the clip where they cornered him and asked if he was gonna flip and he was defensive talmbout “why don’t you guys wait for the midterms.”

He really thinks he’s Gagiana but everyone has his tea clocked. 

[Bronco 28,196]

4 minutes ago, PartySick said:

I was listening to the Bulwark's main podcast and Sarah Longwell said she's getting emails from Fetterman despite being on Republican fundraiser rolls.

So, he's actively reaching out to Republicans  

I genuinely can only pin it on brain damage from the stroke.

That and his ilk of bernie bro (see Graham and Rogan) were always more right wing populist than actual leftists. 

But otherwise, all the writings are on the walls that switching to the GOP atm is suicide if trying to hang onto your seat.

Idk why he thinks he's smart enough to pull it off.

[PartySick 174,825]

33 minutes ago, LateToCult said:

Did you see the clip where they cornered him and asked if he was gonna flip and he was defensive talmbout “why don’t you guys wait for the midterms.”

He really thinks he’s Gagiana but everyone has his tea clocked. 

 

33 minutes ago, Bronco said:

I genuinely can only pin it on brain damage from the stroke.

That and his ilk of bernie bro (see Graham and Rogan) were always more right wing populist than actual leftists. 

But otherwise, all the writings are on the walls that switching to the GOP atm is suicide if trying to hang onto your seat.

Idk why he thinks he's smart enough to pull it off.

The only way I see him staying as a Dem is if he gets to be the 51st vote. That effectively makes him one of the most powerful people in government for at least two years. 

If Dems get 50 or 52+ seats then he flips because he's braindead.

[Bronco 28,196]

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2102548401216766116

@PartySick

Some data on the hispanic voter shift in florida

[PartySick 174,825]

3 hours ago, Bronco said:

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2102548401216766116

@PartySick

Some data on the hispanic voter shift in florida

Texas spicy being better that Florida spicy, of course  

'Cause Mexicans are better than Cubans and Puerto Ricans  

 

 

 

Am I allowed to admit that being Puerto Rican myself and living amongst Cubans that keep this state conservative? 

@Flippy You're a Mexicarian, you tell me

[Flippy 14,697]

13 minutes ago, PartySick said:

Texas spicy being better that Florida spicy, of course  

'Cause Mexicans are better than Cubans and Puerto Ricans  

 

 

 

Am I allowed to admit that being Puerto Rican myself and living amongst Cubans that keep this state conservative? 

@Flippy You're a Mexicarian, you tell me

I - Well, being in California, I agree with you... The Cubans and PRicans that live here are mostly dems from what I can tell at least.