lastpopicon 31,682 Posted Thursday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:02 PM Just now, andy232000 said: I actually think that maybe won’t happen? I don’t see Man Child growing beyond 8.4M. Maybe if the new single debuted high but even so it’s still an uphill battle. Anyway if it happens it’s just for 1 month until Taylor so…it’s ok lol Oh, I also doubt she can reach the 8.4M Abracadabra record, and it wasn't debut, abracadabra reached those numbers some days afterwards. I'm talking about total debut streams, MAYHEM did 45.3M in the first 24 hours, I think Sabrina will probably do a bit better. The melody that you choose can rescue you Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy232000 11,696 Posted Thursday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:04 PM 1 minute ago, lastpopicon said: Oh, I also doubt she can reach the 8.4M Abracadabra record, and it wasn't debut, abracadabra reached those numbers some days afterwards. I'm talking about total debut streams, MAYHEM did 45.3M in the first 24 hours, I think Sabrina will probably do a bit better. Oh yeah! That one will be broke for sure. She was already tracking for a 350k debut. Regardless, this album won’t actually have much of a life span because then Cardi B will be dropping, the Morgan Wallen might grow back and then Taylor. Sabrina is getting 2-3 weeks TOPS at #1. It’s bound to be cut short quite quickly Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lara Croft 2,152 Posted Thursday at 02:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:05 PM Tears is really good Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lastpopicon 31,682 Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM (edited) 2 minutes ago, andy232000 said: Oh yeah! That one will be broke for sure. She was already tracking for a 350k debut. Regardless, this album won’t actually have much of a life span because then Cardi B will be dropping, the Morgan Wallen might grow back and then Taylor. Sabrina is getting 2-3 weeks TOPS at #1. It’s bound to be cut short quite quickly And at the end of the day the "records" won't matter at all 'cause Taylor Swift will eclipse everyone with a +2M opening week, or something crazy like that Edited Thursday at 02:07 PM by lastpopicon The melody that you choose can rescue you Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mirrion Rizzons 11,131 Posted Thursday at 02:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:11 PM Also worth noting, do we think man child wont receive much of a boost as people will probably wanna start from track 2 onwards, similarly to how GOE outperformed disease on release day? (unless im wrong about that) With APK I don’t think it’ll surpass SNS but it’ll still do very good numbers overall - don’t like man child but still excited to tune in to tears and some other songs! Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy232000 11,696 Posted Thursday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:13 PM (edited) 7 minutes ago, lastpopicon said: And at the end of the day the "records" won't matter at all 'cause Taylor Swift will eclipse everyone with a +2M opening week, or something crazy like that Yeah, similar to how last year all the pop girls that debuted at #2 felt like #1 lol Taylor Swift, the literal definition of slaying so hard slay loses meaning Edited Thursday at 02:14 PM by andy232000 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wet Fire 7,636 Posted Thursday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:21 PM I think some of you are underestimating the debut numbers. There hasn't been a majorly hyped pop album release since Gaga. People are dying for a good time playing good pop and Sabrina the perfect momentum and the right narrative. People actively seek out to play her. Manchild did fantastic despite being a mid song. The debut numbers will be really surprisingly high even if the album isn't better than SNS. I can see her doing 55M+ tbh even without apk. Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nodandsmile 10,729 Posted Thursday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:48 PM this is the follow-up to her breakthrough moment, kinda her BTW/25 it will and should be huge commercially! Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
elsamars 1,309 Posted Thursday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:02 PM 59 minutes ago, andy232000 said: If Sabrina misses the AOTY then it’s unlikely another pop record will be nominated besides Mayhem, which would strengthen her chances by having the majority of the Pop Voters (27% of the voting pool have declared Pop as their expert genre). Kendrick’s primary experts -rap- are only 10%. He needs to capture votes across all other genres to win. If There is no Pop split, it will be harder for him. I still think Kendrick is winning simply because that 27% of pop voters are not unique voters, some could prefer a rap nominee in the general field, thus Gaga could lose a good chunk, but mathematically, having Sabrina out of the race is advantageous for her and disadvantageous for Kendrick because most people have declared Pop as their expert genre and cognitive bias leads us to vote for what we feel more confident judging. All that info and percentages mean that music quality does not matter for Grammys. Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkta 359 Posted Thursday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:04 PM I’m really surprised how many of us still care about Grammys… Like why lol Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout19 12,112 Posted Thursday at 03:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:07 PM 1 minute ago, nkta said: I’m really surprised how many of us still care about Grammys… Like why lol It's close to midnight and something evil's lurkin' in the dark. ○● 6 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gumzy3000 7,357 Posted Thursday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:17 PM I still don't get the hate for Manchild. Easily the song of the Summer for me and one of the best pop music videos this year. I'm not even a Sabrina fan (only know like 3 songs from her lol) but I feel this album is going to be really good. trolly troll troll 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
InTheCloset 20,181 Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM 3 hours ago, Teletubby said: I just want you to come inside But never enter through the back door Vanilla I hope the exit is joyful and i hope never to return. Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy232000 11,696 Posted Thursday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:26 PM (edited) 24 minutes ago, elsamars said: All that info and percentages mean that music quality does not matter for Grammys. Well exactly! lol. Maybe thats why some very controversial wins have happened before. Edited Thursday at 03:27 PM by andy232000 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy232000 11,696 Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM (edited) 25 minutes ago, Blackout19 said: sorry quoted the wrong user! Edited Thursday at 03:33 PM by andy232000 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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