Official Charts Thread

[A Very Gaga Holida 22,536]

10 minutes ago, Chromanne said:

Abracadabra has the potential to peak Top 10, atleast #7-10, especially with growing radio airplay and SNL performance on March 8.

I certainly hope so! But a top 10 bet looks very risky 

[HermesG 1,328]

10 hours ago, Cpeer said:

Then probably Alice was around #20 on Spotify? I remember the number but sure on which chart anymore haha

first day 

Global 12 US 10

but it was only for a day n then drop hard

[Juanlittlem 43,357]

I think Chromatica debut numbers should be easy to reach.
#1 ROM - 6.89M
#2 Sour Candy - 6.23M
#12 Alice - 3.11M
#13 Stupid Love - 2.97M
#17 911 - 2.90M
#18 Free Woman - 2.86M
#23 Fun Tonight - 2.49M
#24 Chromatica I - 2.42M
#26 Enigma - 2.32M
#27 Plastic Doll - 2.31M
#29 Sine From Above - 2.29M
#30 Chromatica II - 2.28M
#34 Replay - 2.16M 
#40 Babylon - 2.05M
#49 1000 Doves - 1.86M

Disease is doing around 1M every day, so it being the album opener could boost it to 3.5M just like Alice, DWAS is doing better than ROM already, and Abracadabra could pull numbers close to Sour Candy's when the album releases.

[DutchHooker 8,374]

1 minute ago, Juanlittlem said:

I think Chromatica debut numbers should be easy to reach.
#1 ROM - 6.89M
#2 Sour Candy - 6.23M
#12 Alice - 3.11M
#13 Stupid Love - 2.97M
#17 911 - 2.90M
#18 Free Woman - 2.86M
#23 Fun Tonight - 2.49M
#24 Chromatica I - 2.42M
#26 Enigma - 2.32M
#27 Plastic Doll - 2.31M
#29 Sine From Above - 2.29M
#30 Chromatica II - 2.28M
#34 Replay - 2.16M 
#40 Babylon - 2.05M
#49 1000 Doves - 1.86M

Disease is doing around 1M every day, so it being the album opener could boost it to 3.5M just like Alice, DWAS is doing better than ROM already, and Abracadabra could pull numbers close to Sour Candy's when the album releases.

I still think it's sad they didn't make Chromatica III like 3 seconds longer, it would gain so much free streams for some minor extra work 

[Juanlittlem 43,357]

1 minute ago, DutchHooker said:

I still think it's sad they didn't make Chromatica III like 3 seconds longer, it would gain so much free streams for some minor extra work 

Yup, it hurts that the streams for it are so low 'cause its not long enough

[monketsharona 68,293]

1 hour ago, FFXIV WhiteMage said:

Definitely, especially with pop/pop ballad hits. I can especially see her having big ballad/acoustic hits in the future. 

I honestly feel like the idea of her only getting success from ballads is overrated tbh... It's always a hit or miss as much as her dance music

I mean Abracadabra, Bloody Mary, her deep cuts trending regularly, Judas being her next +1B streamed song are the proof. People also love her very Gaga dance electronics music

[BlondeKingOfGGD 1,943]

The UK I’m predicting 

 

#1 - #3 for Abracadabra (definitely #1 if we got physicals too)

#5 - #10 DWAS (but I’m not sure it it’s had it’s streams cut so not sure with this?) if not, then top 20/30

Disease #15 - #30 

Vanish Into You #6 - #10

-

not sure with how DWAS charting would effect the number of songs charting at once in the UK rule would go but if we forget about that she could have had Garden Of Eden chart top 40 too! 

[scheisseJK 2,473]

1 hour ago, monketsharona said:

I honestly feel like the idea of her only getting success from ballads is overrated tbh... It's always a hit or miss as much as her dance music

I mean Abracadabra, Bloody Mary, her deep cuts trending regularly, Judas being her next +1B streamed song are the proof. People also love her very Gaga dance electronics music

Of course she can have a hit with dance truck but even if its a global dance smash she cant’t reach top5 is US (yes maybe for  1 week with physicalls etc, Abracaabra would do it with full week And physicals)

Its possible  now for her to stay long in top 10 in US with ballads or slower/traditional pop sounds (paparazzi, edge of glory) 

Edited Wednesday at 11:14 AM by scheisseJK

[Pandacadabra 7,695]

6 minutes ago, BlondeKingOfGGD said:

The UK I’m predicting 

 

#1 - #3 for Abracadabra (definitely #1 if we got physicals too)

#5 - #10 DWAS (but I’m not sure it it’s had it’s streams cut so not sure with this?) if not, then top 20/30

Disease #15 - #30 

Vanish Into You #6 - #10

-

not sure with how DWAS charting would effect the number of songs charting at once in the UK rule would go but if we forget about that she could have had Garden Of Eden chart top 40 too! 

Thats 4 songs. Isnt the rule 3 songs maximum from 1 artist? 

[monketsharona 68,293]

4 minutes ago, scheisseJK said:

Of course she can have a hit with dance truck but even uif its global dance smash she cant reach top5 is US (yes maybe for  1 week with physicalls etc, Abracaabra would edo it with full week And physicals)

Its possible  now for her to stay long in top 10 in US with ballads or slower/traditional pop sounds (lpaparazzi, edge of glory) 

To be trully honest I'd rather see her being global smash that chasing a country that 'reject' 80% of her stuff in charts even her recent ballads. 

I lowkey think DWAS is only a US smash mainly because of Bruno tbh

[BlondeKingOfGGD 1,943]

5 minutes ago, Pandacadabra said:

Thats 4 songs. Isnt the rule 3 songs maximum from 1 artist? 

Yeah I completely forgot we had that rule here, I just re checked because I thought that was the case. In this case it will probably be DWAS, Abracadabra and Vanish Into You that chart. Not Disease!

[DziubiDaily 2,169]

I'm predicting the following Spotify numbers:

1. Disease - 4.9M

2. Abracadabra - 7.7M

3. Garden of Eden - 3.85M

4. Perfect Celebrity - 3.7M

5. Vanish Into You - 4.2M* (if dropped as a promotional single)

6. Killah ft. Gesaffelstein - 4M (due to the interest of the GP in Gesaffelstein and it being the only new collab on the album)

7. Zombieboy - 3.6M

8. LoveDrug - 3.4M

9. How Bad Do U Want Me - 3.1M

10. Don't Call Tonight - 2.9M

11. Shadow Of A Man - 2.75M

12. The Beast - 2.6M

13. Blade of Grass - 2.5M

14. Die With A Smile with Bruno Mars - 11.25M

TOTAL: 60.4M

All 14 tracks will be in the top 50 of Global Spotify

[DziubiDaily 2,169]

As for Billboard Hot 100 (US), I think:

#1 - DWAS

Top 10 - Abracadabra

Top 25 - Disease

Top 50 - One other song (Vanish Into You OR Killah)

Top 100 - Two other songs (Garden of Eden, Perfect Celebrity, Zombieboy or LoveDrug)

 

[FFXIV WhiteMage 5,648]

1 hour ago, monketsharona said:

I honestly feel like the idea of her only getting success from ballads is overrated tbh... It's always a hit or miss as much as her dance music

I mean Abracadabra, Bloody Mary, her deep cuts trending regularly, Judas being her next +1B streamed song are the proof. People also love her very Gaga dance electronics music

But not totally unfounded since as a songwriter who writes songs on a piano, she’s bound to have good ballads/acoustic songs. 

And all artists have a hit or miss probability but not many have blockbuster hits like she have, especially the ballad ones (Shallow, ARUTW, and DWAS). And I’m not just talking about hits, these are generational classic hits.  Of course she can also make a breakthrough with pop and dance music like she had with BR, JD, and PF. 

[River 109,198]

Remember, in the streaming era, even Hava Nagila can be #1