lilboyblue 3,792 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 3 minutes ago, Economy said: 217 waw before discounts and variants yes The new prediction i guess includes them. Not sure about vinyls if those are included I would think maybe the vinyls were added already in as they were shipped early? Did they have in stock for immediate shipping throughout the week? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psyduck 1,061 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Economy said: Are 20k vinyls factored into the prediction? That part im still not clear on I would assume so but I don't think TOTC has the exact sales numbers so he probably just did a safe assumption of 10k for the Vinyls/Physicals So if the real figure is 20k+ (hoping it is) it will make a huge difference Edited November 1 by Psyduck keep on looking for Psyduck 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 46,956 Posted November 1 Author Share Posted November 1 1 minute ago, lilboyblue said: I would think maybe the vinyls were added already in as they were shipped early? Did they have in stock for immediate shipping throughout the week? Not sure Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilboyblue 3,792 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 3 minutes ago, SevenWonder said: I bought all four on itunes and five each on Amazon. Ugh. Oh well. We tried. Thank you for your service! Couldn't help out with sales because they geoblocked it also on Amazon. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 46,956 Posted November 1 Author Share Posted November 1 Just now, Psyduck said: I would assume so but I don't think TOTC has the exact sales numbers so he probably just did a safe assumption of 10-15k for the Vinyls So let me get this straight... where did 20k idea come from. Is that how many were available and were assuming they were close to selling out? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luna Lovegood 22,416 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 8 minutes ago, lilboyblue said: 217 pts. was early prediction right, before they made the discount and the new versions. And now it's +10 at 217 pts. Yeah, I'm with the user above — I find it hard to believe the song only did +10k sales over their initial prediction. Maybe they're being cautious atp because it would be a far bigger disaster if they had changed the prediction to DWAS to #1 already and it didn't happen? Midweek prediction includes the versions boost. but they could’ve also low balled the numbers. also usually TOTC midweek prediction’s doesn’t include Tues-Wed or either Wed-Thurs, so keep your expectations ig. I just find it funny though her US can only pull ~10k sales despite the versions 💀 truly useless luna’s advocate 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilboyblue 3,792 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 minute ago, Economy said: Not sure Hold tight!! It's going to be a close one. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 46,956 Posted November 1 Author Share Posted November 1 Just now, lilboyblue said: Hold tight!! It's going to be a close one. Going to bed. Gonna dream positive thoughts 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psyduck 1,061 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 3 minutes ago, Economy said: So let me get this straight... where did 20k idea come from. Is that how many were available and were assuming they were close to selling out? Someone from the other site sad 2 weeks ago that its 25k+ vinyls/physical sales already since they're holding the shipping for more than a month but then again we have no way of knowing thr exact sales numbers keep on looking for Psyduck 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psyduck 1,061 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 6 minutes ago, Luna Lovegood said: Midweek prediction includes the versions boost. but they could’ve also low balled the numbers. also usually TOTC midweek prediction’s doesn’t include Tues-Wed or either Wed-Thurs, so keep your expectations ig. I just find it funny though her US can only pull ~10k sales despite the versions 💀 truly useless Not sure if it is fully included but I don't think it is tho Streams/Sales tracking week is from Friday to Thursday (midweek here is probably Frid-Monday) Radio tracking week is from Monday to Sunday (midweek here is thursday) keep on looking for Psyduck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilboyblue 3,792 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Luna Lovegood said: Midweek prediction includes the versions boost. but they could’ve also low balled the numbers. also usually TOTC midweek prediction’s doesn’t include Tues-Wed or either Wed-Thurs, so keep your expectations ig. I just find it funny though her US can only pull ~10k sales despite the versions 💀 truly useless The iTunes sales data though that we got pegged it at around 10K per day on both days that it had the versions. So that's a safe 20K with a full day left. They couldn't have projected any more than 2K / day pre-discount because on iTunes DWAS wasn't Top 10 anymore at the start of the week. So take that away and you still have about a 15 or 16K spike in sales. A Bar Song also lost 3-pts since last prediction so the gap we need to overcome has gone down as well to 18 pts. DWAS also went #1 on Amazon post-discount btw, which is not accounted fot in the sales figures we're working with. (Might be marginal but might also spell the difference) It really will be down to the wire. Let's just pray we made it over the hump! Edited November 1 by lilboyblue Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GipJo 2,851 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 minute ago, Psyduck said: Not sure if it is fully included but I don't think it is tho Streams/Sales tracking week is from Friday to Thursday (midweek here is probably Frid-Monday) Radio tracking week is from Monday to Sunday (midweek here is thursday) Radio is now the same tracking period, they changed it since 2021 sis. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilboyblue 3,792 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 2 minutes ago, Psyduck said: Not sure if it is fully included but I don't think it is tho Streams/Sales tracking week is from Friday to Thursday (midweek here is probably Frid-Monday) Radio tracking week is from Monday to Sunday (midweek here is thursday) They do project the rest of the week though, but there's a chance they lowballed it as @Luna Lovegood said to be on the safe side since they still have the Final Predictions to correct themselves, anyway. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psyduck 1,061 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 (edited) 7 minutes ago, GipJo said: Radio is now the same tracking period, they changed it since 2021 sis. Oooh then its midweek is just Fri-Mon then Tues - Thursday sales must have offset the 7pts gap, I'd hope Edited November 1 by Psyduck keep on looking for Psyduck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nATAH 42,181 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 35 minutes ago, JGD said: You’re not though. LOL ok mother, what must i do? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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