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Variety blind predicts Gaga as Best Actress nominee


LateToCult
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Controversiaga

I’m not doubting she will be phenomenal but have they actually seen the movie yet? lol isn’t it mega early to make this prediction?? 

Pronounced like “Balenciaga” . Emphasis on the “Ga”
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ActualPatient
7 minutes ago, Controversiaga said:

I’m not doubting she will be phenomenal but have they actually seen the movie yet? lol isn’t it mega early to make this prediction?? 

this is actually why it's called a blind prediction. purely speculative.

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LateToCult
Posted (edited)
30 minutes ago, mamo said:

I actually don't know much about Florence's film but seeing as it's A24, i'll probably swap her around for someone else. I don't think Emma will be nominated again seeing as she just won but you never know! Jodie Comer and Saoirse Ronan's films have premiered already and had rave reviews.

The other three actresses I chose are based mainly on statistics and status. Angelina's movie is another biopic directed by Pablo Larrain (his previous two films landed Natalie Portman and Kristen Stewart nominations), Jessica Lange is an industry legend and she won the Tony award for the same exact performance not too long ago and then there's Gaga who's apart of the highly anticipated Joker sequel. But we'll just have to wait and see how this all plays out!

I can’t count Emma out just yet. Did you know that from 2017-2024, the winner for Best Actress has been in either a Searchlight distribution or an A24 distribution? There was one anomaly, which was Renee Zellweger in Judy (2019) BUT the distributor in the US was Roadside (which is owned by Lionsgate) and the distributor in the UK was  20th Century Fox (which is owned by Walt Disney, the parent company of Searchlight). And do you know who won in 2016? Emma Stone for a Lionsgate distributed film. 
 

Basicaly, Searchlight/Disney and A24 have the Best Actress market completely on lock and Emma Stone + Searchlight can be a dangerous combination. 
 

Oh! Completely forgot to add that after Emma won for La La Land, her next film was The Favorite and she was nominated for Best Supporting Actress. Want to guess who distributed that film? It was Searchlight. :giveup:

Edited by LateToCult
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Ziggy

I think it’s a little silly to put Emma stone in there lmao she jsut won there’s no chance they’d use a nomination slot on her unless she is absolutely, earth shatteringly phenomenal

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LaLa

ugggh I hate that we're starting this discourse so early, gonna be a long year :messga:

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androiduser

it's not even April, and most award contenders premiere closer to the end of the year

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LateToCult
Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, Ziggy said:

I think it’s a little silly to put Emma stone in there lmao she jsut won there’s no chance they’d use a nomination slot on her unless she is absolutely, earth shatteringly phenomenal

2015: A24

2016: Lionsgate (Emma Stone won)

2017: Searchlight

2018: Searchlight

2019: 20th Century/Lionsgate

2020: Searchlight

2021: Searchlight

2022: A24

2023: Searchlight 

History tells us Florence Pugh and Emma Stone should not be underestimated for the 2024 season. As of now, I think they’re actually front runners because the people that will be campaigning with them seem to have the best relationships and connections in Hollywood.

Edited by LateToCult
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JgHaus78

Whenever I’m watching anything batman related and Harley Quinn appears it always make me wonder “has Gargar seen this ahead of making the movie?” Or what comic books has she read as homework. 

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LateToCult
1 hour ago, androiduser said:

it's not even April, and most award contenders premiere closer to the end of the year

Hollywood is so predictable, it’s fairly easy to start the guessing game this early.

Within a month we’ll get a trailer, which will have a lot of buzz. Rumors and leaks up until Venice in the late summer, WW premiere in the fall, then awards campaigning will be in full swing. Not looking forward to May-August and November/December though. Unless Gar drops new music then. :ally:

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Ziggy
3 hours ago, LateToCult said:

2015: A24

2016: Lionsgate (Emma Stone won)

2017: Searchlight

2018: Searchlight

2019: 20th Century/Lionsgate

2020: Searchlight

2021: Searchlight

2022: A24

2023: Searchlight 

History tells us Florence Pugh and Emma Stone should not be underestimated for the 2024 season. As of now, I think they’re actually front runners because the people that will be campaigning with them seem to have the best relationships and connections in Hollywood.

Sure, I just mean for actual voting it’s SO rare to do a double showing like this at the oscars

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LateToCult
9 minutes ago, Ziggy said:

Sure, I just mean for actual voting it’s SO rare to do a double showing like this at the oscars

Oh I get that. In my opinion, the Academy loves to play favorites and is less “democratic,” meaning they don’t care too much about sharing the love. They vote for what they like and this past decade shows that they tend to like what Searchlight serves them when it comes to actresses. It’s gonna be a very interesting season! 

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