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November 11 update: Lady Gaga in Best Actress predictions


Bradley

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Bradley

NOVEMBER 11 UPDATE: Something quite strange happened. Gaga dropped from #3 to #4 on GoldDerby's combined predictions, but rose from #4 to #3 on Experts' predictions.

Experts' odds: https://www.goldderby.com/odds/expert-odds/oscars-nominations-2022-predictions/

 

 

On GoldDerby, Gaga started at #1 when the first trailer dropped, then dropped to #5 during the silence.

When trailer two dropped, she rose to #4.

Now she has risen again to #3 in the combined predictions.

https://www.goldderby.com/odds/combined-odds/oscars-nominations-2022-predictions/

 

As for Gold Derby's Experts predictions, overall she still stays at #4, however she is likely to rise to #3 soon,

six experts have updated their predictions in early November, 5 of them have included Gaga (at various spots, two of them have her at #2). Some of these experts did not include her in top 5 before.

https://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/expert-predictions/oscars-nominations-2022-predictions/actress/sort/recent/

 

AwardsWatch's October prediction list has her at #5, rising from #7.

Their November list will likely see her rising further.

https://awardswatch.com/2022-oscar-predictions-best-actress-october/

 

Variety still has her at #2 behind Kristen Stewart.

https://variety.com/feature/2022-oscars-best-actress-predictions-1235021150/

 

The Playlist has listed four major most likely contenders: Gaga is included.

https://theplaylist.net/best-actress-oscars-2022-predictions-contenders-20210930/

 

In other news, Bradley Cooper's Nightmare Alley has decided to place Rooney Mara under Best Actress, and Cate Blanchett under Best Supporting Actress.

 

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FFXIV WhiteMage

A force to be reckoned with in the acting department. She’s officially an A-Lister actress :bradley:

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Bradley

An interesting point is, will House of Gucci be placed under Comedy or Drama at the Golden Globes?

Movies like The Wolf of Wall Street and Vice have been placed under Comedy before, and these had "break-the-fourth-wall" narration going on. House of Gucci also has that kind of narration.

 

If Gaga wins "Best Actress - Musical or Comedy", and Kristen Stewart wins "Best Actress - Drama", then the race will really intensify. Of course history tells us that the Drama winner always has an edge, but Emma Stone, Jennifer Lawrence, Olivia Colman who won Actress - Comedy/Musical went on to win the Oscar so...

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littlepotter
9 minutes ago, Bradley said:

An interesting point is, will House of Gucci be placed under Comedy or Drama at the Golden Globes?

Movies like The Wolf of Wall Street and Vice have been placed under Comedy before, and these had "break-the-fourth-wall" narration going on. House of Gucci also has that kind of narration.

Gaga talks directly to the viewer?

chaeri pls
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Bradley
Just now, littlepotter said:

Gaga talks directly to the viewer?

People are saying she will.

I think someone read the script and confirmed this or something. I mean you can hear her narration in the trailer.

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Patriziaa Reggiani
11 minutes ago, Bradley said:

People are saying she will.

I think someone read the script and confirmed this or something. I mean you can hear her narration in the trailer.

No, there were people on twitter that saw it confirmed nobody breaks the fourth wall or something.

I will not watch House of Gucci
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Bradley
2 minutes ago, Oreo said:

No, there were people on twitter that saw it confirmed nobody breaks the fourth wall or something.

Maybe it's been edited out.

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thisboyisamonster

I think she has a decent chance of winning tbh - early reviews from some of the press screenings are saying very good things about her and Leto's performances 

Viva la Gaga

 

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Not The Real Gaga
2 hours ago, Oreo said:

No, there were people on twitter that saw it confirmed nobody breaks the fourth wall or something.

 

In the script she does.

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littlepotter
3 hours ago, Bradley said:

People are saying she will.

I think someone read the script and confirmed this or something. I mean you can hear her narration in the trailer.

There's a big difference between her narrting the story and her breaking the fourth wall 

like this

 

chaeri pls
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Bradley
2 minutes ago, littlepotter said:

There's a big difference between her narrting the story and her breaking the fourth wall 

like this

 

I get the difference, sorry for not being clearer earlier.

I don't know if you remember but Gaga recorded a short clip honouring Elton John or something,

or was she receiving an award I don't remember, but she looked like the Patricia in jail and I was convinced that look was for a breaking-the-fourth-wall scene.

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