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Charts Discussion - 5 weeks until Chromatica


ViviLittleM

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Thrasher

Spotify Philippines 

#26 (+2) Stupid Love - 116,833

“Come over, when you’re sober”
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Kindness Ponk

I still can't believe SL did 50k with bundles i mean they included 10 digital downloads for one order and  it should easily serve 10k extra sales:rip:

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Sorcerer

There are only 6 female artist songs in the US Spotify Top 50 :madge:

On International Women's Day :madge:

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Artur

I can’t find the radio update in he middle of these meltdowns. Can anyone share it again? 

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DeanWinchester

The COLLAPSE omg :billie:

she’s over :billie:

Flyin' like a 1000 Doves
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Gypsy Life
1 minute ago, Arizona Sky said:

My original Kworb predictions were right but @/GypsyLife told me to multiply the first day by 1.5 so I got 64K :interestinga:

Day 1: 19K
Day 2: 10K
Day 3: 6K
Day 4: 5K
Day 5: 4K
Day 6: 5K
Day 7: 5K

= 54K

You should still multiply first day by 1.5 :poot: these numbers seem a little high btw. For instance, DM was doing 2.3k daily. SL had less than 30% lead combined the last couple of days, so no way it did more than 3.5k.

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Just A Holy Fool

Guys, the streaming numbers are still not stabilizing. Quick, we need StUpId LoVe (Remix) feat. Lil Nas. 

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DeanWinchester
Just now, DeanWinchester said:

The COLLAPSE omg :billie:

she’s over :billie:

Wait, it’s normal to decrease on a Sunday :billie:

Flyin' like a 1000 Doves
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Flawless

those sales are really disappointing, let's light up our alejandro candles for the bb100 update

the scars on my mind are on replay.
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GABEL

It makes no difference between #5 or #2 if SL can't serve longevity 

I will only meltdown if she lose radio support as well:billie:

Other fanbases will drag her no matter what, just ignore them

 

 

(Real thought: Ariana Come save us I beg U :sharon:)

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DeanWinchester

Not Chartsters going into hiding lmao weak

:billie:

Flyin' like a 1000 Doves
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Jollibee
2 minutes ago, Thrasher said:

Spotify Philippines 

#26 (+2) Stupid Love - 116,833

At least SL is rising somewhere else.

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Lazz Monster
1 minute ago, Artur said:

I can’t find the radio update in he middle of these meltdowns. Can anyone share it again? 

Total AI

52+4 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 33.60 +2.99

We're far from the Shallow now
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Bloody Matt
14 hours ago, Arturo said:

If anyone wants my full unbiased analysis of how Stupid Love is doing / how I think it will do here it is metric by metric.

Sales: Like my good friend @Klou pointed out earlier, Stupid Love is holding on well on iTunes for how little airplay it has in the US. There are countless examples of songs, even leads by big artists, that didn't hold up this well on iTunes with similar airplay numbers. More recently, Heartless by The Weeknd, was not holding up as well with ~30m audience 9-10 days after release:
https://kworb.net/pop/archive/20191206.html

Now before you say oh well he doesn't do well on iTunes he does better on streaming, that makes no sense. He's a pop star whose songs have sold well digitally and whose current single single Blinding Lights has been much more receptive to little airplay during the beginning of its run and is now holding its own with its big airplay gains (~was steady in the Top 10 until SNL boosted it way up).

Conclusion: Stupid Love could be and should be doing a lot worse in digital sales. It's current performance is exceeding expectations


Airplay: There's no other way to define Stupid Love's US airplay reception as anything other than phenomenal. She's going from #28 to most likely #20 tomorrow on Nielsen's Mainstream Top 40 chart. Mind you it took like 5-6 months for Shallow to even reach #19. And stations that refused to playlist it quickly added Stupid Love and are continuing to play it. HAC is on top of it even though it usually takes HAC longer to jump on non-P!nk pop songs like DSN, Circles, etc but they're clearly loving it. 

Conclusion: I don't want to jinx it...but I don't see how this is not her first Top 10 on Pop radio since DWUW and yet another solid Top 5 hit for her on HAC after Shallow and Million Reasons


Streams: I say this completely seriously but I don't think SL's performance on Spotify or even AM is anywhere close to flopping. Could she be doing better? Absolutely. But she's had to survive multiple album bombs (Lil Baby, G Herbo, Bad Bunny, Lil Uzi, Jhene Aiko and it's only been 9 days.) The positions are worrying at first glance but I don't think the actual streams she's pulling are horrible. They're average or maybe a bit under expectations at worst.

Conclusion: Give streaming some time. DSN also had many hills and valleys until it was consistently pushing 16-17m weekly US streams which is a good place for SL to get to once radio picks up more.

Basically, everything I've seen so far is good. Stop worrying.

Bumping this because y’all need it :vegas:

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