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'Chromatica' Discussion - ACT I


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Felixorfelicia
2 minutes ago, Electric Mary said:

I mean if all she wants is to be come a jazz hippie singer with that old ass Tony whatever his last name is do it gurl, but at least be honest with your fanbase and stop doing this.

‘That old ass tony’ it’s fine you don’t like jazz but that’s so disrespectful lol

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AsleepOnTheCeiling
54 minutes ago, justhislife said:

"underperforming lead", didn't everyone say the same about PI and then she still pulled a #1 with Joanne? All the predictions doubted her too, and she ended up with 201,000 equivalent album units, scoring a #1. Lets not forget that Chromatica is bundled with tour tickets. Meaning she would have 215,386 sales if every single seat was sold. However, one must account for the fact that there won't be seats behind the stage. So even at 75% capacity we have 161,540 digital sales. And without it selling out, and a guess of 90% of those seats sold, we end up with 145,385 digital sales. That's only for tour bundles too. On top of that we have the merch bundles. I see 6 album bundles on her U.S. store. Even if each item only had 5,000 sales, that's another 30,000 digital sales. So total at 191,540 digital sales. Stupid Love had 53,000 digital sales first week. So if we pulled similar numbers for Chromatica, that puts us at 244,540. Moving onto streams, SL first week streams were at 19.7M, with a very conservative 25% of that x 16 tracks, that puts us at 63,040 equivalent units, for a total of 307,580 units. That's without in-store physicals. And let's not forget that the album doesn't have to SHIP in the first week, they just have to be SOLD. Now I could be very wrong, and I welcome anyone (especially chartsters) to correct my numbers, but if this is realistic, I think Gaga is in for another #1. The Weeknd is a streaming giant, but I doubt he goes from around 400k units to over 300k in his third week. And I doubt that Dua (even though the album is a hard bop) can touch 300k, even in her first week. 

 

Overall, I feel like Gaga's team is closely watching each of these numbers, and seeing if she could do better than this without the virus. Keep in mind that as of right now there are no mother major releases announced, but at a later time they would be taking a gamble. 

 

37 minutes ago, Genuine Guy 09 said:

https://genius.com/a/how-album-concert-ticket-bundles-reshaped-the-billboard-charts-in-2017

It's OK :-) 

Billboard estimates that 30% of tickets are redeemed 

So working that out against the tickets it is adding between 20 - 30k average. Gaga is only doing two u.s. dates so far

Okay, I see :) I appreciate you plugging that for me. Pointing out that she has two U.S. dates (actually 3) does make me realize the fact that I accidentally added the Canada date.

 

Updated number:

Tour bundles (161,880 total seats, 75% capacity, 90% sold, 25% redeemed): 27,318

Merch bundles (6 items, 5,000 sold each): 30,000

Digital sales (based on SL first week): 53,000

Album Equivalent/Streams (SL first week at 19.7M, conservative 25%, times 16 tracks divided by Billboards 1250 Album Equivalent #): 63,040

 

Total minus In Store Physicals: 173,358

The new total is still without any sales in stores. And let's not forget that retailers such as Target did not have SL for sale at all, so with even more distribution sales are likely to be even higher. On top of that there are monsters who did not buy the single who will buy the album. Additionally the different vinyls are collectible, so that will drive sales even more. Of course these are all theoretical numbers but they show the possibilities for first week sales. Again, if anybody would like to quote me and correct or add information, please feel free to!

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Electric Mary
10 minutes ago, MiddleZone said:

Tea, and obviously she wasn't to know Covid was coming, but I'm saddened she put her ALL into Enigma and Haus Labs for the whole of a year, which didn't do much for her primary fans, and now we have no clue what is going on with Chromatica...

Its true but Covid isn't an excuse, we're in 2020, she could hype and promote the album all over the internet, who gives a damn about a poster in some lost place in LA ? She is LADY GAGA for f--'s sake

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Electric Mary
4 minutes ago, Felixorfelicia said:

‘That old ass tony’ it’s fine you don’t like jazz but that’s so disrespectful lol

ur missing the point. Its not about the jazz, like I said I don't think she likes being a popstar anymore, but I think she still tries to be like that for us. I don't like that, because u can see its not genuine enough. I could be wrong, of course, but everything she's been doing since Joanne has proven it for me. What I like about her is her passion (I don't care if its jazz, ballads, whatever) , and I didn't see her passion on stupid love and I sure as hell don't see it right now.

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My Name Isnt Alice
54 minutes ago, Chromatica said:

I see this thread is turning into LG6 Discussion 2.0 :poot: Flash forward to 9 months from now and we're still waiting for the album.

It also turned out to be an "OGH f*ck gaga the reality is she's flopping" thread

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PhantomOfTheDance

at least the LG6 Discussion thread was somewhat enjoyable. i can hardly go here without seeing arguments and toxicity.

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xoxo Craig

Good morning! :vegas: Just your daily reminder that Chromatica, Lady Gaga's 6th Studio album, its coming in 19 days... just over 2 and a half weeks to go untill we hit 10th April 

And Dua Lipa's album is coming in 12 days, April 3rd 

End Racism Now
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Stef
4 minutes ago, xoxo Craig said:

Good morning! :vegas: Just your daily reminder that Chromatica, Lady Gaga's 6th Studio album, its coming in 19 days... just over 2 and a half weeks to go untill we hit 10th April 

And Dua Lipa's album is coming in 12 days, April 3rd 

The optimism is what I needed today x 

Signature loading… 👹🖤
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not Chromatica
6 minutes ago, PAPER GANZTA said:

It also turned out to be an "OGH f*ck gaga the reality is she's flopping" thread

That, along with some occasional "I want The FameGa back"  :saladga:

5 minutes ago, Cookies said:

at least the LG6 Discussion thread was somewhat enjoyable. i can hardly go here without seeing arguments and toxicity.

And to think I used to believe the worst was over...

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MysteryMan
8 minutes ago, xoxo Craig said:

Good morning! :vegas: Just your daily reminder that Chromatica, Lady Gaga's 6th Studio album, its coming in 19 days... just over 2 and a half weeks to go untill we hit 10th April 

And Dua Lipa's album is coming in 12 days, April 3rd 

Dua Lipa's is already here :ladyhaha:

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PhantomOfTheDance
2 hours ago, Chromatica said:

That, along with some occasional "I want The FameGa back"  :saladga:

And to think I used to believe the worst was over...

just because it's over

doesn't mean it's really over

and if i keep thinking over

maybe you'll be coming over again

and i won't have to get over you again

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xoxo Craig
1 minute ago, Cookies said:

just because it's over

doesn't mean it's really over

and if i keep thinking over

maybe you'll be coming over again

and i won't have to get over you again

Thought we kissed goodbye

Thought we meant that time

Was the last but I guess its never really over

Thought we drew the line

Right through you and I

Can't keep going back

I guess its never really oveeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee-eeeeeeeer

End Racism Now
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PhantomOfTheDance
2 hours ago, xoxo Craig said:

Thought we kissed goodbye

Thought we meant that time

Was the last but I guess its never really over

Thought we drew the line

Right through you and I

Can't keep going back

I guess its never really oveeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee-eeeeeeeer

dance dancing GIF

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