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Oscars: Gaga's chances 0%; Sam 100% #OscarsCancelled


Gypsy Life

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I was wondering who Samantha is then realized it was Samuel. :rip: 

Monsters, don't shade a fellow Monster like that. :rip: 

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Gypsy Life
3 minutes ago, Yves said:

Hoping someone will answer this question: Were there times that the front runner didn't win?

2011: http://www.goldderby.com/odds/index/18/

2012: http://www.goldderby.com/odds/index/85/

2013: http://www.goldderby.com/odds/index/144/

2014: http://www.goldderby.com/odds/index/200/

The frontrunners in Best Song in the past 4 years won.

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ARTPOPNick

If Samentha is a real little monster, he should call the Academy to give the Oscar to gaga, even if they decided to give it to him..

 

 

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Remember how many people thought beyoncé would win the aoty Grammy over beck? Look how silly they look now. Don't let the same happen to you, monsters 

Queen Of Pop
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21 minutes ago, Dhipita said:

Remember how many people thought beyoncé would win the aoty Grammy over beck? Look how silly they look now. Don't let the same happen to you, monsters 

Well, the last time experts said Gaga was going to win (Golden Globes), she did

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16 minutes ago, Dhipita said:

Remember how many people thought beyoncé would win the aoty Grammy over beck? Look how silly they look now. Don't let the same happen to you, monsters 

Well in terms of Goldderby, experts were equally tied between Beyonce & Beck, the majority of editors predicted Beck but the vast majority of the users believed Beyonce would win. Beyonce was given 40% chance of winning, still higher than her competitors but highly inflated by the number of non-expert users voting Beyonce.

If we went by experts, Beyonce and Beck were tied with 28% probability. If we went by editors, Beck was at 41% while Beyonce was still at 28%.

In the case of the Oscars Gaga/Warren have 72% chance according to Experts (Sam Smith is closest second with 23%). 93% of editors believe Gaga will win (Sam Smith is closest second with 2%). The majority of users also believe TIHTY will win.

TIHTY is statistically more likely to win than Beyonce was at The Grammys.


With that said though, it's good to be skeptical and not treat this as if it is completely in the bag. Early signs are great, but See You Again was tipped to be one of the biggest contenders and it wasn't even nominated. Big upsets can happen.
 

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24 minutes ago, Clip said:

Well, the last time experts said Gaga was going to win (Golden Globes), she did

But they didn't

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4 hours ago, Bebe said:

Well in terms of Goldderby, experts were equally tied between Beyonce & Beck, the majority of editors predicted Beck but the vast majority of the users believed Beyonce would win. Beyonce was given 40% chance of winning, still higher than her competitors but highly inflated by the number of non-expert users voting Beyonce.

If we went by experts, Beyonce and Beck were tied with 28% probability. If we went by editors, Beck was at 41% while Beyonce was still at 28%.

In the case of the Oscars Gaga/Warren have 72% chance according to Experts (Sam Smith is closest second with 23%). 93% of editors believe Gaga will win (Sam Smith is closest second with 2%). The majority of users also believe TIHTY will win.

TIHTY is statistically more likely to win than Beyonce was at The Grammys.


With that said though, it's good to be skeptical and not treat this as if it is completely in the bag. Early signs are great, but See You Again was tipped to be one of the biggest contenders and it wasn't even nominated. Big upsets can happen.
 

Wow scalp me with those receipts babe. I applaud you, you don't mess around and I like that. 

It's actually the first thing I look for in a guy, so if you're straight and single hmu

Queen Of Pop
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